[Gretl-users] Forecasting Questions (newbie)

[Graham Smith]

Hi,

 

I'm sorry the following questions are going to be really basic but I've got
to start somewhere...

 

I have a time series data (temperature against time for example) and I need
to predict what the temperature is going to be in the future. Is this the
sort of thing that Gretl will do for me? I've had a play with Gretl and I've
managed to get it to give me a couple of graphs and I've even managed to
perrform a forecast run but the forecasts I'm getting are always straight
lines when I would have expected something that looks like the data I have.

 

I think what I need to learn about is statistics in general and regression
analysis in particular but I'm not a mathematician / statistician so I don't
know if that is correct (I'm a chemist turned programmer). I'm willing to
learn what I need to know but right now I a bit stuck just figuring out what
it is I should learn.

 

Many thanks for any pointers, Graham Smith

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